Cash in overdue peace dividends
A couple of decades ago the wall that was on everybody’s mind was in Berlin. Then it came crashing down, pushed over by a wave of reform and renewal that seemed to promise the dawn of a new era for our troubled globe.
At that time, there was much talk of “a peace dividend” that would see large amounts of public money freed up from military spending. No longer needed to wage the Cold War, these funds would be used for loftier purposes.
But the push for peace, paradoxically, has faltered in the post-Cold War era. Fast-forward a decade or two, and we find that while wars between nations have decreased in frequency, conflict and violence continue to plague and undermine human progress.
Recently we have witnessed violence and conflict — some of it involving governments, some of it not — surge to a record high. Data indicate that nonstate conflicts have increased by 125 percent since 2010, surpassing all other types of conflict. State-based conflict also rose by over 60 percent in the same period. Meanwhile, civil wars and internal conflicts have surpassed the number of interstate clashes, marking a shift away from violence between nations to violence within nations.
Yet despite this self-defeating discord, we as a global family have scored successes in bending the arc of human development in a better direction.
We forged a groundbreaking global deal to finally take action to face the threat of climate change. At the global level, most of the commitments made under the United Nations’ Millennium Development Goals were fulfilled, lifting millions of people out of poverty and hunger. And we upped our game via the bold and visionary 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda, which aims inter alia at the total eradication of hunger and malnutrition.
So we’ve had our bright moments, too—moments when we appeared to be on the launch pad of the “better tomorrow” so many of us had aspired to for so long.
But our worst impulses are getting in the way.
Last Friday, five UN organizations released the first global assessment of the progress made so far toward achieving the goal of eradicating hunger and malnutrition by 2030. Our first report-card in this noble effort is not good, I’m afraid.
After steadily declining for over a decade, global hunger is on the rise again, affecting 815 million people in 2016, or 11 percent of the global population. That’s 38 million more people than the previous year.
A primary culprit? You guessed it: conflict.
The vast majority (490 million) of hungry people on the planet live in countries affected by conflict; 122 out of 155 million stunted children in the world do as well.
The impacts of conflict on food security can be direct (the destruction of farms or food stocks) or indirect (disruptions to food systems or markets that drive up food prices). Often, they are amplified by extreme weather associated with climate change.
And so conflict has seen famine reemerge as a clear and present danger; more than 20 million people in Northeast Nigeria, Somalia, South Sudan and Yemen are at risk.
This alarm bell tells us that we cannot keep slapping band-aids on hunger. Treating symptoms is not enough. It’s time to treat causes. These include extreme poverty, lack of social protection policies, underinvestment in agriculture as well as in the resilience of rural communities, and unsustainable farming practices and environmental degradation, to name just a few. But first and foremost, we must invest in peace and stability.
National and regional leaders in conflict zones, as well as the parties directly involved, are the first that need to step up. At the same time, the international community cannot relinquish its responsibility to help broker lasting solutions.
But all of us, as global citizens and members of the same human family, must play our part. In this era of reality shows and digital schadenfreude, we may have become too inured to violence. We need to shake ourselves out of complacency.
We need to shed our skepticism and reboot, turning not only to tried and true approaches to peacebuilding but also to finding new ways of dealing with the ancient scourges of conflict and hunger. This includes dealing with triggers like disputes over natural resources, and providing support to agricultural livelihoods, both of which can mitigate some causes and effects of conflict and contribute to sustaining peace.
There is a dividend in food security and peace, just waiting for us to cash it in.
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José Graziano da Silva is director general of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
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