Quantcast

Claim doesn’t match figures

Rigoberto Tiglao’s claim that $390 million or P16.6 billion worth of rice was smuggled from Vietnam is wrong. It is meant to justify a predetermined conclusion that “Rice smuggling explodes under Aquino” (Inquirer, 12/20/12).

Citing International Monetary Fund trade  statistics between the Philippines and Vietnam during President Aquino’s first two years in office, Tiglao anchored his analysis on the premise that 90 percent of Vietnam’s exports to our country is accounted for by rice. Therefore “the $433 million” difference between the two nations’ merchandise trade for all goods translates to $390 million in smuggled rice ($433 million x .90 = $390). Let’s amplify:

1. Published statistics of the General Statistics Office of Vietnam debunk Tiglao’s 90-percent claim, in that Vietnam’s rice shipment to our country for the period January  2011 to June 2012 reached only 35 percent of Vietnam’s combined exports to the Philippines. Compare this to the 72 percent in three years, from 2008 to 2010. In monetary terms, Vietnam’s rice exports to the Philippines declined from $3 billion (during the period January 2008-December 2010) to $704 million (during the period January 2011-June 2012). Twenty-five items, from instant noodles to iron and steel, comprise Vietnam’s exports to the Philippines. Why single out rice? Seven countries in the region are rice exporters. Clearly, the 90-percent benchmark did not take place in President Aquino’s first two years.

2. International rice price quotes determine domestic price behavior and belie Tiglao’s conclusion that domestic farm gate prices were down, that retail prices remained stationary from  2010 through December 2011 on to November 2012 due to “explosive” smuggling. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization, farm gate prices in truth rose from P15.34/kg in May 2010 to P16.18/kg in November 2012, up from a low P14.40 in December 2010, what with a  2.4 million-ton massive December 2009 importation that was scheduled for arrival in 2010 in several batches.

In US dollar terms, retail per-kilo prices rose 15 percent from $0.68 in May 2010 to $0.78 in November 2012, which price direction was consistent with price hikes that prevailed in the following countries: Vietnam from $0.32 (May 2010) to $0.43 (November 2012); Thailand from $0.36 to $0.52; India from $0.44 to $0.58; and Indonesia from $0.80 to $1.

Vietnam’s 25-percent brokens, the variety procured by the National Food Authority (NFA), were priced on average per-ton basis at $387 in 2010 compared to Tiglao’s $518; $464 in December 2011 versus his $620; and $418 in November 2012 against his $588. Clearly, global prices declined by 10 percent from December 2011, but rose 8 percent from  2010’s $387, yet NFA procured at $640-$700/ton.

3. Tiglao apparently missed an April 12, 2008, news item on two rice shipments worth P12.6 million that were seized at the Port of Manila, contradicting his “zero” smuggling theory.

—MANUEL Q. BONDAD,

manuelbondad@yahoo.com”


Follow Us


Follow us on Facebook Follow on Twitter Follow on Twitter


Recent Stories:

Complete stories on our Digital Edition newsstand for tablets, netbooks and mobile phones; 14-issue free trial. About to step out? Get breaking alerts on your mobile.phone. Text ON INQ BREAKING to 4467, for Globe, Smart and Sun subscribers in the Philippines.

Short URL: http://opinion.inquirer.net/?p=45475

Tags: letters , Rice Smuggling , Rigoberto Tiglao , Vietnam



Copyright © 2014, .
To subscribe to the Philippine Daily Inquirer newspaper in the Philippines, call +63 2 896-6000 for Metro Manila and Metro Cebu or email your subscription request here.
Factual errors? Contact the Philippine Daily Inquirer's day desk. Believe this article violates journalistic ethics? Contact the Inquirer's Reader's Advocate. Or write The Readers' Advocate:
c/o Philippine Daily Inquirer Chino Roces Avenue corner Yague and Mascardo Streets, Makati City, Metro Manila, Philippines Or fax nos. +63 2 8974793 to 94
Advertisement
Advertisement

News

  • US teacher fired over comment on black president
  • Magnitude-7.5 earthquake shakes Mexican capital
  • Title of new Hillary Clinton book: ‘Hard Choices’
  • Filipinos, Dutch re-enact crucifixion of Christ
  • 14 killed in car bombing in Homs
  • Sports

  • Nadal ousted by Ferrer in Monte Carlo quarters
  • Pacquiao shorts in Bradley fight sold for P1.7M in LA auction
  • Ryu pitches Dodgers past Giants
  • Alonso sets the pace in Chinese GP practice
  • Heat seek Three-peat but Spurs, Pacers top seeds
  • Lifestyle

  • Levine designs womenswear with help from fiancee
  • Gabriel Garcia Marquez, Nobel laureate, dies at 87
  • Ford Mustang turns 50 atop Empire State Building
  • Pro visual artists, lensmen to judge Pagcor’s photo contest
  • ‘Labahita a la bacalao’
  • Entertainment

  • Myx TV premieres Asian American ‘docu-series’
  • A nutty finale for ‘Scandal,’ TV’s craziest show
  • EXO postpones release of mini album ‘Overdose’
  • ‘X-men’ filmmaker slams ‘fabricated’ sex attack claims
  • Singer Chris Brown’s bodyguard on trial in DC
  • Business

  • US commerce secretary spells out economic facet of ‘pivot to Asia’
  • Italy sells luxury state cars on eBay
  • Asian shares mostly up in quiet trade
  • Dollar up in Asia on US jobs data, Ukraine deal
  • Barbie doll has a problem
  • Technology

  • Nasa’s moon-orbiting robot crashes down
  • Netizens pay respects to Gabriel Garcia Marquez
  • Nokia recalls 30,000 chargers for Lumia 2520 tablet
  • Facebook rolls out ‘nearby friends’ feature
  • Netizens seethe over Aquino’s ‘sacrifice’ message
  • Opinion

  • Editorial cartoon, April 17, 2014
  • A humbler Church
  • Deepest darkness
  • ‘Agnihotra’ for Earth’s health
  • It’s the Holy Week, time to think of others
  • Global Nation

  • Las Vegas ‘Pinoy Pride’ fest hails Filipino heritage
  • Marking Jesus’ journey on Good Friday
  • Filipina accomplice arrested for fake bills in Malaysia
  • DoH denies Filipino nurse no longer positive for MERS virus
  • WHO warns vs spread of MERS-Cov, urges vigilance in taking precautions
  • Marketplace